Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.401321 3.756049 4.140643 4.590030 5.102516 5.670849 6.351700
2025-09-21 2.858652 3.325774 3.866945 4.545455 5.380721 6.384918 7.698166
2025-09-28 2.441844 2.942222 3.548675 4.347331 5.385777 6.710629 8.562406
2025-10-05 2.237559 2.775949 3.453687 4.384572 5.654165 7.362078 9.899232
2025-10-12 2.095722 2.665891 3.407544 4.464556 5.969031 8.093059 11.432910
2025-10-19 1.978614 2.572549 3.367702 4.538929 6.271681 8.829401 13.072553
2025-10-26 1.876548 2.487719 3.327313 4.601471 6.554664 9.560224 14.807681
2025-11-02 1.779010 2.399385 3.271431 4.630934 6.783668 10.226543 16.535048
2025-11-09 1.648378 2.253395 3.119371 4.498594 6.740230 10.439671 17.495131
2025-11-16 1.551104 2.148434 3.018651 4.434147 6.795195 10.816923 18.807708
2025-11-23 1.474460 2.068351 2.948524 4.410049 6.911172 11.308421 20.416686
2025-11-30 1.441292 2.050746 2.971568 4.536779 7.295198 12.326202 23.272559
2025-12-07 1.373537 1.977488 2.904765 4.512215 7.416559 12.883531 25.301437
2025-12-14 1.307013 1.902227 2.829753 4.467316 7.496178 13.371165 27.282430
2025-12-21 1.215785 1.782946 2.676023 4.273291 7.277330 13.231277 27.763667
2025-12-28 1.177406 1.745681 2.654111 4.309716 7.500617 14.030397 30.711877
2026-01-04 1.149674 1.723778 2.655856 4.387979 7.812807 15.062323 34.514804
2026-01-11 1.122750 1.701473 2.655069 4.460747 8.120865 16.130681 38.708835
2026-01-18 1.095541 1.677041 2.648747 4.521935 8.410820 17.201808 43.224349
2026-01-25 1.064789 1.644913 2.626758 4.550759 8.634350 18.149485 47.657775
2026-02-01 1.011397 1.571654 2.527728 4.421284 8.498783 18.191832 49.204981
2026-02-08 0.971536 1.519870 2.464447 4.358224 8.504778 18.594148 52.084566
2026-02-15 0.939913 1.480937 2.422339 4.334643 8.597858 19.237599 56.020909